Strategies
Ten strategies.
All pluggable. All shadow-ready.
polybot ships with ten strategies covering arbitrage, statistical arbitrage, market making, copy trading,
and signal-driven directional bets. Each is a subclass of BaseStrategy — read
the source, fork it, or replace it with your own.
Arbitrage
Low riskBuy YES + NO when their combined price is below $1. The closest thing to a free lunch in prediction markets — if you can size, fill, and settle.
Statistical arbitrage
Medium riskTrade pairs of correlated markets when their spread diverges from its historical mean. Directional-free in expectation, but not in reality.
AI model
Medium riskLet a language model or classifier predict the true probability of an event, trade where the market mis-prices it. polybot treats LLMs as probability oracles, not decision-makers.
Spread farming
Low riskPassive market making on prediction markets. Post limit orders on both sides of the book and earn the bid-ask spread.
Copy trading
Medium riskMirror the trades of profitable wallets you've vetted. polybot handles discovery, filtering, and size normalisation.
Resolution arbitrage
Low riskNear expiry, when the outcome is effectively certain, prices sometimes still trade at 97–98¢ instead of 99.5¢. Capture the last pennies.
Calendar spread
Medium riskTrade mispricings between markets that resolve on different dates but cover the same underlying event. The forward curve, for prediction markets.
Momentum
High riskRide trends in prediction-market prices. Simple, directional, and risky — the control variable is discipline, not insight.
Poll divergence
Medium riskTrade the gap between public polling averages and market prices. Works best when polls and markets disagree and you have a view on which is stale.
Volume spike
High riskReact to unusual volume as a leading indicator of price movement. Fast, noisy, high-risk.
Want a custom strategy built?
Cryptuon designs and implements custom strategies — from research through shadow deployment to live trading.