polybot

Strategies

Ten strategies.
All pluggable. All shadow-ready.

polybot ships with ten strategies covering arbitrage, statistical arbitrage, market making, copy trading, and signal-driven directional bets. Each is a subclass of BaseStrategy — read the source, fork it, or replace it with your own.

Arbitrage

Low risk

Buy YES + NO when their combined price is below $1. The closest thing to a free lunch in prediction markets — if you can size, fill, and settle.

Beginner PolymarketKalshi

Statistical arbitrage

Medium risk

Trade pairs of correlated markets when their spread diverges from its historical mean. Directional-free in expectation, but not in reality.

Intermediate PolymarketKalshi

AI model

Medium risk

Let a language model or classifier predict the true probability of an event, trade where the market mis-prices it. polybot treats LLMs as probability oracles, not decision-makers.

Intermediate PolymarketKalshiOpinion

Spread farming

Low risk

Passive market making on prediction markets. Post limit orders on both sides of the book and earn the bid-ask spread.

Intermediate Polymarket

Copy trading

Medium risk

Mirror the trades of profitable wallets you've vetted. polybot handles discovery, filtering, and size normalisation.

Intermediate Polymarket

Resolution arbitrage

Low risk

Near expiry, when the outcome is effectively certain, prices sometimes still trade at 97–98¢ instead of 99.5¢. Capture the last pennies.

Beginner PolymarketKalshi

Calendar spread

Medium risk

Trade mispricings between markets that resolve on different dates but cover the same underlying event. The forward curve, for prediction markets.

Advanced KalshiPolymarket

Momentum

High risk

Ride trends in prediction-market prices. Simple, directional, and risky — the control variable is discipline, not insight.

Intermediate PolymarketKalshi

Poll divergence

Medium risk

Trade the gap between public polling averages and market prices. Works best when polls and markets disagree and you have a view on which is stale.

Advanced PolymarketKalshi

Volume spike

High risk

React to unusual volume as a leading indicator of price movement. Fast, noisy, high-risk.

Intermediate Polymarket

Want a custom strategy built?

Cryptuon designs and implements custom strategies — from research through shadow deployment to live trading.